Just got off the phone with Mike and it…


looks like he is much farther along than I suspected in realizing the dream of a better housing index!

The idea is that the Real-Time National Housing Report will report on “real-time” market conditions for 20 major metro areas. The interesting angle that Altos Research brings to the table is that their index enhances sales data (most typically used for this type of analysis and lags current market conditions by a few months) by including a listing and pending information.

Here are some insights they were able to gleam from this month’s report (*.pdf):

  • Nationally, the housing market continued to experience the widely-publicized pressure this month but a handful of cities have managed to buck the downward trend. Inventory levels displayed seasonal declines in many markets.
  • Time-on-market continued to increase substantially, indicating that the decline in
    demand continues to outpace inventory reductions.
  • In San Diego, the first effects of the October wildfires became visible in pricing, inventory and time-on-market trends. Prices fell in San Diego by 5.8% during the last three months.
  • Significant price decreases were also observed in Detroit, Los Angeles, San Francisco and Las Vegas.
  • Miami experienced the longest time-on-market spans with an average days-on-market of 137 in November. Minneapolis had the second highest average days-on-market at 125.
  • Three markets maintained price stability this Autumn – New York, Denver, and Dallas – though weakening demand indicators do not bode well for the near term.

If you like data, then definitely check out the report for more details. I think Mike Simonson of Altos Research and Stephen Bedikian of RealIQ are on to something very interesting.

, ,

2 responses to “Just got off the phone with Mike and it…”

  1. Dustin—

    You have a lot of interesting reading here. I’m always mesmerized by these region reports. Here where I work in South Beach/Miami Beach the market does not follow the “overall trend.” What I try to get across is now that inventory is increasing and we head on down the road of this “new” markets, there a micro-markets within them. Some are performing better than the trend and some are perfoming worse. That is what people must realize and where, in my opinion, these “metro” reports fail.

    I’m not a cheerleader or, god forbid, an optimist, but comparing Miami to Miami Beach is like comparing Beverly Hills to Tarzana. Most times I would say the upper east side of Manhattan to the Bronx, but I added a west coast comparison just for you.

    🙂

Leave a Reply